Tuesday, 12 August 2014

What Caused the Recession?

I recently sent out a tweet (follow me here!) asking for blog post suggestions, and this post is based on a response I received. 
Sub-prime lending is cited as a major cause of 'The Great Recession' of 2008/9. There is a lot of ground to cover here, so I'll give you the 'lite' version, and then you can watch the video below for a much more in-depth explanation.

What is a recession?
recession is "A significant decline in activity across the economy, lasting longer than a few months.Whilst unpleasant, recessions are actually a normal part of the 'boom and bust' cycle. 


In the beginning, the US housing market was doing really well - demand for houses pushed housing prices up, and this trend was expected to continue as it had done for many years. This is known as a housing bubble
Source: The Economist
The flourishing housing market captured the attention of investors, who essentially, began to buy chunks of mortgage debts from investment banks (see video below for an explanation of mortgage-backed securities and collateralised debt obligations). 

Where did it all go wrong?

The problem was that mortgage lenders had started to take on riskier borrowers by offering sub-prime mortgages. Many of these borrowers were unable to make mortgage repayments, so their homes were repossessed and put up for sale (this is known as foreclosure). An increase in the supply of houses and no match in demand cause house prices to fall - bad news for those still making mortgage repayments on houses that had decreased significantly in value. 
Source: The Economist
When borrowers defaulted, (could not pay back their mortgages) the investment banks had to pay investors from their own pockets, leading to the collapse of some banks, and the need for bailouts of others. 

There is a lot of detail I have not gone into in this short explanation, so if you have 11 minutes and 10 seconds to spare I definitely recommend watching this video: 

If you're really pushed for time, or just aren't to fussed about all the details here's a two minute explanation

Read More:
Investopedia - The Great Recession
BBC News - Global Recession Timeline 
The Guardian - Three Weeks that Changed the World

I hope that was helpful. If you have any comment, suggestions or feedback at all - whether you've spotted a typo, or there's something you'd like me to write about, please let me know!


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